CONTRA EL PINGALISMO CASTRISTA/ "Se que no existe el consuelo que no existe la anhelada tierrra de mis suenos ni la desgarrada vision de nuestros heroes. Pero te seguimos buscando, patria,..." - Reinaldo Arenas

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Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Inversiones. Mostrar todas las entradas

lunes, noviembre 24, 2014

Goldman Sachs Has Invested In A Company That Could Replace Analysts With Algorithms

Goldman Sachs has just led a $15 million funding round for Kensho, a financial data service that should have analysts quaking in their boots. The company is seeking to replace equity analysts with software.
Google Ventures, Accel Partners, and CNBC are also some of Kensho's big investors, according to the Financial Times
Here's what Kensho is trying to do, in its own words:
Kensho harnesses massively-parallel statistical computing, user-friendly visual interfaces and breakthroughs in unstructured data engineering to create the next-generation analytics platform for investment professionals.
Addressing the most significant challenges surrounding investment analysis on Wall Street today — achieving speed, scale, and automation of previously human-intensive knowledge work — Kensho's intelligent computer systems are capable of answering complex financial questions posed in plain English, and in real-time.
If Kensho's claims are accurate, it should send a shiver down the spine of every financial analyst and researcher. Previously, the huge and growing amount of data available hasn't harmed analysts — the numbers are often useless without some interpretation. But if that data can be interpreted automatically, it's bad news for researchers and analysts. They might not be needed anymore if a machine can do the interpreting faster and better.
This process isn't just something that's hitting analysts. White-collar jobs could be replaced by algorithms and robots all over the place. Computers and robotic automation have replaced a huge proportion of jobs in manufacturing and agriculture in the past hundred years, but the trend isn't likely to spare service-sector desk-based workers.
Platforms like Narrative Science have already started to do this with journalism, with firms' financial statements quickly turned into news articles by the software. The stories are often indistinguishable from regular human-written news. A combination of firms like Kensho and Narrative Science mean you could soon be reading an article written by a robot journalist, based on research done by a robot analyst. 

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lunes, octubre 27, 2014

El bodeguero y la cartera de inversiones de Cuba

General de Ejército Raúl Castro en reunión del Consejo de Ministros. a su lado en la mesa Samuel Rodiles Planas, director del Instituto de Planificación Física
el circo
la cartera de inversiones de 8.7 billones [aqui >>]  aparece con al menos dos anos de atraso como ocurrio con la propia ley de inversion extranjera, ello explica que se ponga en marcha un mega proyecto como mariel sin la existencia de una legislacion actualizada [por demas pocas diferencias entre la antigua y la nueva], a lo que se anade el clima de inseguridad a los "dineros" de los sres. capitalistas extranjeros porque los kubiches estan excluidos como ocurrio durante decenios con el apartheid turistico.
a lo que iba: la cuenta del bodeguero con el mocho de lapiz y el cartucho no da: redondeando a un partnership del 50% con una tasa del 25% el ingreso neto de los 8.7 se reducen a 1.1. de verificarse el 1.4% de crecimiento del pib en el 2014 ascenderia a 52.4 billones [precios constantes del 97] que atendiendo al deflactor 2013-1997 lo situaria en torno a los 78.1 + 1.1 = 79.2 billones, por lo que descontando todo aquello que sabemos bien de los estudios de factibilidad, proyectos tecnicos y de mercados, contruccion civil y montaje, introduccion de los productos en el mercado [y aqui se requiere un tratamiento diferencial para el mercado externo y al interno] maduracion y recuperacion de la inversion y el eterno mix marketing que posicione competitivamente el producto alla, acuya y aqui [y el aqui se complica por el bajo nivel poder adquisitivo de la poblacion que se agravara con la unificacion monetaria sin hablar de la probable espiral inflacionaria en ese producto que saldra a oferta y demanda], el impacto en el pib si a pesar del clima adverso [legislacion, diferendos resueltos en tribunales cubanos, y los oscuros proceso de los sarkis, tokmakjian y compania] se lograran contratar los 8.7 billones andaria por un maximo del 10%, a los cuales habria que hacerles un conjunto de deducciones. algo que ni juanito ni jose luis se atreverian a afirmar ni bajo los efectos de una juma carnavalesca e intima.
entonces esta nueva campana atrasada -y es necesario subrayarlo- de rodriquito maLmierda impulsada desde la cima es como aquellas convocatorias de todos a la plaza el 1ro de mayo. el consejo de ministros le baja la tarea a los ministros con la asesoria metodologica de la tropita del maLmierda y estos a las organizaciones empresariales intermedias y estos a su vez a las empresas y estas ultimas a los establecimientos.  y como todo el mundo tiene que cumplir con la tarea y si de paso va y adivinas y aterriza un etarra reconvertido a empresario con el financiamiento del impuesto de guerra [algo que vi personalmente en bilbao y plamplona] o un azzurro siciliano o napolitano va y coges cajita.
como esta es una conversacion de naturaleza economica y no sobre un proyecto de poder politico, entonces o el general quiere que le cuenten lo que desea escuchar o en su neocortex las sinapsias estan en franco deterioro, pues no se explica de otra manera que se deje pasar este paquetazo del farsante de murillo. 

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lunes, marzo 24, 2014

Money talks: The impact of sanctions on Russia

The Economist

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lunes, diciembre 02, 2013

Royal Canadian Mint’s chair allegedly helped a former prime minister’s heirs hide millions of dollars offshore

James Love with Finance Minister Jim Flaherty
James Love, who also advised Finance Minister Jim Flaherty on international taxation, acted on behalf of the family of Arthur Meighen, who served as prime minister of Canada from July 10, 1920 to December 29, 1921.
In a lawsuit, two Meighen granddaughters accused him of breach of trust over the offshore transactions they claimed were unlawful and negligent.
Court documents in the suit filed in 2008 and discreetly settled three years later say Love helped arrange the transfer of more than Can$8 million starting in 1996 to Bermuda, Barbados and Antigua.
Obtained by public broadcaster CBC, the documents show Tara and Alyssa Meighen had concerns about taxes, interest and penalties if the scheme was ever exposed.
The CBC said Love countered in sworn statements that the offshore transfers “resulted in significant savings of Canadian taxes” for Meighen’s heirs, estimated at Can$1 million.
He also denied any breach of trust.
Moving assets to offshore trusts is not inherently illegal, but Canada and other Western nations have moved to tighten the rules to prevent abuses.
Love reportedly acknowledged in an affidavit rules in the Canadian tax code “to prevent transfers of assets from Canada to avoid Canadian taxation.”
But he nevertheless advised trustees of the Meighen family fortune that “it might be possible to structure a transaction that would have the intended results.”
“Such a result might be obtained through a more complex transaction,” he said in the affidavit.
Former prime minister Arthur Meighen's great-granddaugthers Tarah Wright, right, and Alyssa Wright, centre, alleged that lawyer James Love, left, helped their grandfather effectively cut them off from their inheritance, in part using offshore investments. (CP/Farzin Photography/Dalhousie University)
The trustee, Canada Trust, which has since been absorbed by TD Bank, agreed to what it described as a “tax avoidance scheme” in an internal memo filed with the court.
The money was routed through a dozen transfers involving numbered companies and bank accounts in Ontario, New York, Barbados, Bermuda and Antigua, as well as share transfers and loans.
Eventually the funds appeared to end up back in Canada. The Antigua holding companies that absorbed the funds reportedly hired Love’s Toronto-based financial firm, Legacy Private Trust, as an investment manager.
Love was appointed to the board of the Royal Canadian Mint in 2006 and was named chair in 2009.
Love, a close friend of Finance Minister Jim Flaherty who was appointed to the Mint’s board in 2006, was also a trustee for most of the last decade of the Arthur Meighen Trust, an entity set up by the former Conservative PM in 1949 to distribute his wealth to his family. Before taking on that formal role, documents show Love had been an adviser and “close” friend to several Meighen family members.
It was in that advisory role that Love, in the mid-1990s, informed the managers of the Meighen Trust that they could get “Canadian tax relief on the income from about 40 per cent of the [trust] assets” if they moved the money offshore, Meighen’s great-granddaughters say in their statement of claim.
The use of secret accounts in offshore jurisdictions like Switzerland or the Cayman Islands has been thrust into the media limelight in recent years, following a spate of data leaks — including from several Swiss banks — that exposed account-holders’ identities and information.  The most recent large leak was made public in April, when CBC News teamed up with the U.S.-based International Consortium of Investigative Journalists to report on secret accounts linked to 130,000 people worldwide.

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viernes, octubre 11, 2013

How to milk savings from a cow: Bad investments do good

The Economist

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jueves, julio 11, 2013

Max Leznik sobre charla de Cónsul en Miami

para los cubanos el derecho a invertir en su propio pais esta sujeto a su comportamiento "respetuoso" con el regimen que permita su repatriacion. desde afuera ninguna inversion es legal ni directa. a continuacion las declaraciones del agentazo venido a menos:


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sábado, abril 27, 2013

Bahrain: Tourism, Investment, And The Arab Spring

By Nicolai Due-Gundersen
The Kingdom of Bahrain is a small island-nation in the Middle East, located in between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Bahrain. Bahrain’s closest neighbors include the dominant Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the smaller nation of Qatar. Bahrain’s main investment sectors are characterized by booming financial and banking services. Hence, despite earlier hydrocarbon discovery than most Gulf States, it has attempted to minimize hydrocarbon dependence. In addition to the aforementioned sectors, Bahrain is also seeking to further diversify its economy through tourism.
BahrainTo that end, Bahrain has focused on hosting and further developing the Formula One World Championship events. In 2002, agreements were signed between the Kingdom of Bahrain and Bernie Ecclestone, current manager of F1, to host the 2004 round of the F1 Championships. Shortly after the contract was signed, Bahrain invested 150 million USD in the construction of the Bahrain Racing Circuit. The F1 investment quickly paid off, allowing Bahrain to enjoy the second highest growth in tourism within the Middle East by 2006.
However, the events of the Arab Spring spilled over into Bahrain, leading to widespread protests that were met with harsh responses from the Bahrain government in 2011. While protests became more fragmented in early 2012, in part due to King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa’s agreement to consider democratic reforms, violence returned less than a month later, in February 2012.

Overview of Investment Sectors

Despite a desire to diversify its economy, the hydrocarbon sector continues to be a persisting revenue source. Bahrain’s proven reserves are estimated to be at 125 million barrels, as of January 2011, with a 46,000 barrel per day output. In addition, Bahrain shares an offshore field, Abu Safah, with Saudi Arabia. With production shares equally divided between the two states, Bahrain’s Abu Safah output stands at 150,000 barrels a day. A key aspect of Bahrain’s hydrocarbon sector is its refining capacity. Unlike most (pan) Arab states, which export crude oil to Western and Asian markets, Bahrain refines its petroleum products prior to exportation to main clients, which also includes the Asian region, especially India. Refining capacities are an important indication of well-developed infrastructure, lowering required investments from foreign (oil) companies and also illustrating a country’s extent of overall advanced (technological) development. Such development factors can serve as indications of a country’s economic stability and hence the potential security of long-term investments.
In addition to its hydrocarbon sector, Bahrain has encouraged further growth of its banking and financial institutions through increasing economic reforms, with the aim of creating ever more liberal markets and diversified private investments. The Bahraini government has targeted five industries for expansion for the purpose of achieving overall stability. These areas include business and financial services, tourism, information technology, telecommunications and healthcare.
Bahrain’s strategy is to maintain and increase its image not simply as another Gulf (oil) State but as the business hub of the Arab world, attracting both international and regional firms. Bahrain’s economic reforms, along with simplifying the process of investment and business establishment within the country for outside firms, has attracted regional financial institutions such as Arab Chartered Legal Accountants, a global (but Arab-focused) auditing firm. In addition, the Kuwaiti-based intellectual copyright law firm, Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization, chose Bahrain as its headquarters location in 2010.
The recent expansion of such Arab-based firms into Bahrain, along with Bahrain’s already existent state-run Central Bank of Bahrain, may indicate that the Bahraini government has placed more emphasis on forming closer regional business ties and thus wishes to sell its financial sector to proximate Arab states. However, the establishment of the Abu-Ghazaleh Organization was closely followed by the opening of the Abu Ghazaleh Institute for Chinese Language and Culture in 2010. Furthermore, Bahrain and India signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) as recently as early summer 2012. The agreement has the core goal of promoting economic and joint investment between the two states. The agreement will be further bolstered by the formation of the Bahraini-Indian Business Council, which will serve as a concrete structural platform for mutual, foreign direct investment.
India’s business rival, China has also been fostering closer relations with Bahrain. In 2011, China was the third largest non-Gulf export market for Bahraini trade, with China itself being the second largest importer of Bahraini goods. While some critics may argue that Sino-Bahraini trade is on the rise, it is important to consider how relations between China and Bahrain are structured and filtered. Unlike Bahraini-Indian relations, which are to be further developed through the platform of the Bahraini-Indian Business Council, Chinese business with Bahrain must go through the Gulf Cooperation Council, a regional organization that represents the collective economic and security interests of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Though there has been discussion on the creation of a Bahrain-China Business Council since 2009, this has yet to materialize. Indeed, Bahrain appears to view itself as China’s gateway into the larger Gulf market, rather than a central target market itself. Bahrain’s relations with India, on the other hand, have seen a recent mutual investment surge. Furthermore, Bahraini-Indian relations span a history of close to 300 years, with up to 350,000 Indians currently residing in Bahrain.
Although Bahrain is known as an international business hub of the Arab world, it is clear that its main economic focus has prioritized its Arab neighbors and the Asian region, with a greater business emphasis on India. This emphasis is further bolstered by the fact that India serves as the main export market in Asia for Bahraini oil. Despite its Asian focus, Bahrain has attempted to create further incentive for more international investment. Such attempts have included providing economic privileges to corporate and small-scale investors, including no income tax and, significantly, total ownership of businesses established in Bahrain by foreigners.
Such incentives have recently earned Bahrain the title of ‘Host of Three of the World’s Top Twenty Economic Zones.’ This title, earned in 2012, earmarks Bahrain as a top twenty location for internal investment, economic development and global business expansion. Bahrain’s economic status has, of course, been further assisted by its location within the Gulf, which allows access to other Arab states, including the world’s largest oil producer, Saudi Arabia. The King Fahd causeway serves as a physical connection between the two states, which has encouraged closer relations between Bahrain and Saudi Arabia.
Access to Arab states has attracted certain Western firms to Bahrain, including American firms Citicorp and American Express. Despite Bahrain’s Asian focus, American ties remain strong, with the U.S. a close trading ally and military client; a significant portion of the US Navy’s Middle Eastern fleet has enjoyed Bahrain’s strategic location for around 50 years.

Formula One and Tourism

Bahrain’s winning bid to host the Formula One Championships came amid fierce competition from other Arab states, especially Egypt, Lebanon and the United Arab Emirates. By 2004, there was significant interest in Bahrain’s Grand Prix, and it is likely safe to say that ‘F1 tourism’ started with the interest of tourists from surrounding Gulf States. The F1 races, which Bahrain attempts to host on an annual basis, have played a significantly increasing role in tourist revenue. They have become the definitive event of the tourist sector, earning the state up to 600 million USD in revenues. Interestingly enough, the majority of F1 tourists continue to come from the Arab world, with less than a quarter of fans from the West, mainly the U.K. The significance of the F1 Championships expands into various subsectors of tourism and hospitality, especially for hotels, which often see total occupancy and are subsequently able to charge up to double their normal rates. In addition, the race generates up to 600 jobs, both directly and indirectly linked to the event, and often earns an additional 7.7 million USD in T.V. rights, sponsorship, catering and commissions, along with facility rental.
However, the success of Bahrain’s F1 events, along with its other investment sectors, has not been immune from the effects of the Arab Spring. Unrest in Bahrain began on February 14th, 2011. Influenced by protests in Egypt and Tunisia, protestors took to the streets of Manama, Bahrain’s capital. From February to June 2011, tensions increased and it became clear that a main source of conflict was the power of the ruling Sunni minority in a country of Shia majority Muslims. Although there have been moments of respite, including the King’s pledge to consider democratic reforms and granting Parliament greater powers of scrutiny, protests and violence increased from February 2012 onward. Worryingly, April 18th 2012 saw F1 drivers exposed to a petrol bomb attack during a practice run, although there are signs that F1 teams were not intended targets.
Although the 2011 F1 Championships were hosted in Australia, Bahrain was keen to welcome back F1 for 2012. Bahrain’s eagerness was no doubt due to the significant revenue losses for the tourist sector due to its cancellation of the 2011 event. While protests in Bahrain have somewhat mellowed, tension continues to exist, with allegations of Bahraini police and soldiers using excessive force on protestors. The alleged arrest and jailing of an 11-year old boy for protest involvement also re-sparked international and domestic outrage.

Economic Stagnation?

In addition to the loss of F1 prestige and tourism, many critics have pointed out that Bahrain’s economic growth stood at only 1.3% in the final quarter of 2011. In addition, many construction projects, which no doubt could contribute to tourist attraction, have been abandoned or halted due to lack of continuing investment. Another worrying trend has been the effects of popular unrest on the financial sector, Bahrain’s pearl in the Gulf, especially the bankruptcy of a major Bahraini bank. Indeed, the conspicuous lack of expatriates serves as an appropriate symbol for what some claim is the decreasing involvement of international firms and investors. Furthermore, the events of the protests have directly cost Bahrain up to 2 billion USD, including up to 200 million USD worth of damages to small and medium-size businesses. Such effects of the Arab Spring will no doubt further make potential external investors wary of establishing businesses within Bahrain or investing in its institutions and portfolios.
Despite such recent downturns, however, there are certain positive (or at least mitigating) indications. Bahrain recently increased its crude oil production and government spending, leading speculators to estimate Bahrain’s 2012 economic growth to be at 4-5 %. Furthermore, some economists have argued that the slowing down of construction growth can be at least partially attributed to recent oversupply of business properties, rather than a sign that businesses are abandoning interest in Bahrain’s strategic location and investment opportunities. While such arguments may be taken as positive signs of (re)development, it must be remembered that Bahrain’s oil sector is distinguished for its exportation of refined rather than crude oil. Hence, Bahrain should resume refined exportation as soon as possible in order to convince potential investors that its infrastructural stability and capacity has returned to acceptable levels. In turn, such resumption may be taken as a sign by non-hydrocarbon investors that stability has begun to return to the overall outlook of Bahrain’s economic performance, encouraging further investment in non-hydrocarbon sectors such as tourism and banking.

Bahrain’s Unrest Versus Saudi Arabian Potential

Bahrain’s strategic location serves as a gateway to the Gulf region. At the same time, Saudi Arabia boasts the status of number one global petroleum producer and exporter. Hence, there is much interest in Saudi Arabia from international oil firms. However, Saudi Arabia’s conservative culture, with its strict Muslim codes, which some Westerners may struggle to embrace, may curb the number of Westerners willing to be active in the country. Hence, Bahrain, with its already established links to Saudi Arabia, has the potential to serve as a more Western-friendly ‘safe-house’ for Western investors, business individuals and company representatives seeking to broker deals in the Saudi Arabian hydrocarbon sector.
However, the business potential of Saudi Arabian-Bahraini unity may be threatened by political considerations. Bahrain’s officially announced desire to share unity with Saudi Arabia and surrounding Gulf states (an Arab equivalent of the European Union) has been interpreted by most Bahrainis and outside critics as having the sole aim of strengthening the Bahraini government’s crackdown of protestors by gaining closer access to Saudi security forces. This suspicion is heightened by Bahrain’s earlier use of Saudi troops to quell uprisings. In addition, demonstrations in Tehran supporting the Bahraini people’s denouncement of such a union have heightened tensions between the Bahraini and Iranian governments.
One possible alternative to formal (political and federal) unity would be the creation of a Bahrain-Saudi Arabia Business Council. Such a platform could strengthen business cooperation between the two states and serve as a framework for Bahrain becoming Saudi Arabia’s ‘business stopover’ for Westerners. In order to dispel suspicion and the prospect of increasing tension, both internally and with Iran, it would be best if such a council were to feature minimal government involvement and instead be a council composed of private businesses. However, as the state is deeply involved in the hydrocarbon sector on both sides (with said sector defining Saudi Arabian economics), such minimization may prove difficult. Thus, state involvement may still be balanced by the participation of international firms. Furthermore, such participation may act as an additional bolster of confidence for potential external investors to return to Bahrain if it allows greater access to Saudi Arabia than via the Gulf Cooperation Council, which certain external investors such as China have had to go through in the past, including for dialogue with Bahrain itself.

Coon

Bahrain stands out from its fellow Gulf States due to its heretofore successful attempts to diversify its economy and minimize the status of being an oil state. Its diversification efforts have earned it the status of being a financial business hub within the Arab region, and the more recent success of the Formula One events has created a most profitable tourist sector. These two elements have rounded out Bahrain’s strategic location as an access point to other Gulf States.
Although the Arab Spring has not had the same sweeping effect in Bahrain as in other Arab nations such as Libya and Egypt, its influence on Bahrain’s investment sectors should not be ignored. Notably, the unrest in Bahrain has been strong enough to have led to the cancellation of the 2011 Formula One event, affecting Bahrain’s image amid government resistance to protestors and taking from the Kingdom a total potential revenue of up to 600 million USD in that year. In addition, the cancellation has had strong repercussions on the hotel and catering sector due to the decrease of tourists. The financial sector too appears to have been hit by a slowdown of economic growth in late 2011 and the withdrawal of expatriate workers and investors from certain industries.
However, Bahrain’s economy still retains promise. In addition to being the host of three of the world’s top twenty economic free zones, economic growth for 2012 was projected to enjoy a modest rebound. Bahrain continues to be ranked as the top business and economic hub of the Arab world, and the government’s recent increase in spending and focus on encouraging internal entrepreneurism is testimony to its determination in growing as an investment hub.
The return of international investment flows into Bahrain will likely hinge on the government’s treatment of ongoing protests. While such protests have lacked the perpetual motion of other Arab Spring movements, the government’s suppressive response to most protests has been met with harsh criticism and pressure, including from business allies such as the United States. Such pressure, in addition to long-made promises from King Al Khalifa, must give way to open dialogue for the first seeds of stability to be sown. Such dialogue can be assisted by diffusing suspicions of Bahraini-Saudi Arabian unity through the creation of a Bahrain-Saudi Arabia Business Council. Such a council can be established in lieu of a formal union between the two countries, with minimal state involvement and the open participation of Bahraini, Saudi Arabian and international businesses. Through business councils, other trading partners such as China can have a more direct link with Bahrain, allowing Bahrain to both defuse political suspicions and increase its status as a gateway to the rest of the Arab world.
-------------------------
Nicolai Due-Gundersen is a contributor to Geopoliticalmonitor.com and is associated with the Arab Institute for Security Studies (ACSIS).
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lunes, diciembre 31, 2012

Wealth Strategies: Hanging your investments on the wall

ReutersVideo

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sábado, diciembre 29, 2012

New York Stock Exchange sold to derivatives company in $8bn takeover

no conditions, no debt cancellation, no chips, just freefall and chaos.
tatoott1009

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viernes, diciembre 28, 2012

U.S. Week Ahead: Deal or no deal, the damage's already done

ReutersVideo

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MARK CUBAN: No sales, no company

Times Photos
Mark Cuban has taken to Reddit to answer questions on everything from the NBA, to his famous confrontation with ESPN talking head Skip Bayless, to his unconventional ideas on tax policy
He also gave advice on what made him famous before he became the high profile owner of the Dallas Mavericks and his incredible success as an entrepreneur.  
When asked what people should know before starting a business, he responded
"It's not about the idea, it's about how prepared you are. Everyone has ideas, most don't do the work required to get the job done. The 2nd thing you need to know is that sales are the most important aspect of a small business. No sales, no company."
Cuban's advice is all about being pragmatic. People toss around terms like "disruption" and "innovation," then go and make products that nobody wants to buy, or don't actually do the work required to make their idea work as a business.
When it comes to his personal success, he takes a similar tack. When asked about passion versus hard work and how he motivated himself he wrote:
"I daydreamed for motivation. I didn't lie to myself and talk about my passions and how if I was passionate enough about something i could be successful at it.
I was lucky. I grew up knowing that hard work and smart work [has] a greater impact on results than being passionate about something." 
So work hard, and be prepared. 

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jueves, noviembre 01, 2012

Why companies are sitting on cash


The Economist/ John Micklethwait-Editor-in-Chief

Cash has been piling up on companies’ balance-sheets since before the crisis.

MONETARY stimulus gets you only so far. In America, third-quarter profits and revenues for companies in the S&P 500 index appear to have fallen year on year for the first time since 2009, according to Thomson Reuters. Profits for roughly half the firms in the European Stoxx 600 have fallen short of expectations so far.
Companies in search of a culprit may want to glance in the mirror. Firms are trimming their budgets for everything from technology-consulting services to semiconductor equipment in the face of what Sir Martin Sorrell of WPP, a British advertising and marketing giant, calls four “grey swans” (unlike black swans, people know about grey ones). The four worries unnerving business are: the euro-zone crisis; upheaval in the Middle East; a possible recession in China; and America’s economic health and “fiscal cliff”—the combination of tax increases and spending cuts scheduled to occur at the end of this year.
This is not a new problem. Investment has steadily risen since the recession ended, but not as vigorously as profits. In America, for example, nominal capital expenditure this year (on an annualised basis) has risen by 6% compared with 2007; internal cash flow is up by 32%. Companies have been net suppliers, instead of users, of funds to the rest of the economy since 2008. Firms in the S&P 500 held roughly $900 billion of cash at the end of June, according to Thomson Reuters, down a bit from a year earlier but still 40% up on 2008.
Business leaders and conservative critics cite that cash mountain as proof that meddlesome federal regulations and America’s high corporate-tax rate is locking up cash and depressing investment. But that cannot explain why the same phenomenon prevails worldwide. Japanese companies’ liquid assets have soared by around 75% since 2007, to $2.8 trillion, according to ISI Group, a broker. Cash stockpiles have continued to grow in Britain and Canada, too, to the immense frustration of policymakers there. “Dead money” is how Mark Carney, the Bank of Canada’s governor, has described the nearly $300 billion in cash Canadian companies now hold, 25% more than in 2008. Mr Carney admonished them to “put money to work and if they can’t think of what to do with it, they should give it back to their shareholders.” More >>

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martes, octubre 23, 2012

Créditos entre Venezuela y China superan los 40.000 millones de dólares

Noticiero Digital
Caracas, 23 oct (EFE).- El ministro venezolano de Planificación y Finanzas, Jorge Giordani, indicó hoy que los créditos conjuntos que mantienen Venezuela y China superan los 40.000 millones de dólares, destinados a proyectos de petróleo, minería y vivienda, entre otros.
Durante una comparecencia ante la Asamblea Nacional (unicameral) para la presentación del proyecto de presupuesto de 2013, Giordani señaló que el fondo conjunto de financiamiento chino venezolano, suscrito en noviembre de 2007, recibió hasta el pasado 14 de septiembre “un total de 23.997 millones de dólares”.
Mientras que el fondo de financiamiento de gran volumen de largo plazo se creó en septiembre de 2009 para “administrar inicialmente una cantidad equivalente a 20.000 millones de dólares”, detalló Giordani.
El funcionario destacó que de los 23.997 millones de dólares del fondo chino venezolano “se han asignado 23.844 millones de dólares para la ejecución de 201 proyectos”.
Señaló que 4.055 millones de dólares se han destinado a proyectos en el sector agrícola; 3.391 millones de dólares para el ámbito eléctrico; 3.814 millones de dólares para el transporte; 2.192 millones de dólares para el sector industrial y 1.513 millones de dólares para petróleo y minería.
Mientras que del fondo de gran volumen, que recibe aportes por 10.000 millones de dólares y 70.000 millones en yuanes, se asignaron hasta el pasado 14 de septiembre “6.943 millones de dólares y 69.565 millones” yuanes para financiamiento de 40 proyectos.
Giornadi citó entre las principales inversiones los 1.363 millones de dólares y 12.144 millones de yuanes para el sector eléctrico, 1.256 millones de dólares y 7.125 millones de yuanes para transporte y 742 millones de dólares y 9.468 millones de yuanes para petróleo y minería.
Venezuela ha destacado que la relación con China “ha alcanzado un nivel estratégico en todos los frentes”.

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jueves, octubre 11, 2012

Operacion de la Inteligencia Cubana en la Universidad de California [Video]

dias atras comentaba sobre el evento "Cuba & California: Prospects for Change and Opportunity at University of California at Berkeley, organizado por agentes de influencia y colaboradores del regimen en los medios academicos norteamericanos y la congresista democrata por california barbara lee.   
los dejo con los videos que recogen las intervenciones de los ilustrisimos y honorabilisimos speakers en el evento, con la seguridad que coincidiran en que estamos en presencia de una operacion de propaganda y manipulacion publica por parte de la inteligencia cubana. 
[nota: la intervencion del espia cubano carlos alzugaray treto en el 7mo video] 
enjoy it:


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lunes, abril 30, 2012

Breakingviews: Barnes & Noble's big brother

by

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lunes, marzo 05, 2012

The collapse of the Petters empire

By: DAVID PHELPS and JON TEVLIN , Star Tribune staff writer/
It was a typical Tom Petters affair. Flamenco dancers swirled around the room. Actors dressed as matadors posed with Minnesota's rich and famous. Saturday Night Live alum Kevin Nealon told jokes, and NFL great Michael Strahan flew into town for the Aug. 9 party, a Petters fundraiser for his late son's foundation that cost almost $400,000.
A beaming Petters shmoozed and draped his arm around anyone who passed by. Corporate big hitters. Celebrities. Politicians.
A month later, one of Petters' closest associates betrayed him to federal authorities, accusing him of running a multibillion-dollar Ponzi scheme.
Petters, a high-profile Twin Cities entrepreneur whose holdings include Sun Country Airlines and Polaroid, was led from his Lake Minnetonka mansion to the Sherburne County jail. He faces federal charges of fraud, money laundering and obstruction of justice. Though Petters maintains he is innocent, four associates already have pleaded guilty for their roles in what may rank as one of the biggest investment fraud schemes in history.
Petters' stunning reversal of fortune has everyone who believed in him, from religious charities to international hedge fund managers, scrambling to assess the damage and wondering how they could have been fooled for so long. Joel Alsaker, Petters' boss in the 1970s when he was selling stereo equipment in St. Cloud, has one answer.
"He was so talented -- you can't overstate that fact," Alsaker said. "He could talk your wallet right out of your pocket."
Alsaker said he believed in Petters so much that, in 1989, he lent him $7,900. Petters had promised to repay the money in 19 days, but according to court documents gave multiple excuses for missing the payment, eventually claiming that he had filed for bankruptcy. When Alsaker discovered that the bankruptcy claim was a hoax, he reopened the case.
Court documents show that, before the next hearing, Petters called the court office and claimed the case was settled and should be removed from the court calendar. The ruse didn't work, though, so when Petters failed to show up in court, a judge found him in default.
Alsaker finally collected his money, but only after threatening to repossess Petters' car.
The shopkeeper's son
The Tom Petters who hobnobbed with the elite, drove a Bentley and reportedly dropped $10 million in gambling losses in Las Vegas contrasts sharply with his upbringing in St. Cloud.
Petters grew up with six siblings in a nice but hardly opulent cottage on the banks of the Mississippi River, just below "pill hill" where the doctors lived. The house was secluded behind a stand of trees and featured a domed greenhouse and gardens tended by his father, Fred, who owned a fur, fabric and tailoring shop downtown. The Petters Building had housed the family business for more than 100 years.
The Petterses live in Avon now, but still attend Catholic mass at the Newman Center on the campus of St. Cloud State and are active in peace and justice issues.
The Petterses are "very well respected for their integrity," said Michael D. Doyle, a friend of the family. "They are considerate, modest and gracious, and very much involved in the issues of the community."
In high school, Tom was gregarious, "a bit of a goofball, but nothing legendary," according to classmate Bill Kain.
"Tom was always very smart and very funny and very popular. He had lots of friends," said Jon Petters, Tom's older brother by four years. More >>

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viernes, febrero 03, 2012

Nasdaq reaches 11-year high; Dow at highest level since before 2008 financial crisis

A drop in the unemployment rate to its lowest level in three years propelled stocks higher Friday. The Dow Jones industrial average jumped more than 130 points, drawing the average to its highest mark since before the financial crisis hit in 2008. The Nasdaq index reached levels last seen in December 2000. More >>

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martes, enero 24, 2012

'Rich Dad Poor Dad' Robert Kiyosaki Exposed - Investigative Report




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sábado, diciembre 31, 2011

US Net Investment Income

krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/
How’s that for a sexy blog post title? But this actually matters.
I’ve been arguing that the nature of US debt now is not, despite appearances, all that different from debt post-World War 2, when we pretty much entirely owed the money to ourselves. Now, of course, some of the money is owed to foreigners; but as I pointed out, America has large assets abroad, not too much less than its liabilities.
But wait, there’s more. American assets. often taking the form of foreign subsidiaries of US corporations, earn a higher rate of return than US liabilities — especially now, when there’s a lot of foreign money parked in Treasuries, but this was true even before the crisis. As a result, income from US-owned assets abroad — the blue line below — consistently exceeds payments on foreign-owned assets in the United States, the red line:
Again, if your image is that we’re deeply in hock to foreigners, that our extravagance has condemned us to a future of debt peonage, you’re wrong.

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viernes, septiembre 16, 2011

Un corredor de bolsa causó hasta US$2.000 millones de perdidas

·         
·         SPANISH
·

Por DEBORAH BALLSARA SCHAEFER MUÑOZ PAUL SONNE

ZÚRICH—UBS AG fue sacudido por la revelación de que un corredor causó hasta US$2.000 millones en pérdidas por transacciones presuntamente fraudulentas. Se trata de una grave admisión que suscitó nuevos interrogantes sobre la capacidad de uno de los mayores bancos del mundo para manejar el riesgo y de los reguladores globales para supervisarlo.
Las pérdidas derivaron de apuestas de negociación no autorizadas con dinero del banco, según una persona familiarizada con el asunto; el banco aclaró que ninguna posición de sus clientes resultó afectada. El banco suizo hizo el descubrimiento el miércoles por la noche y notificó a la policía de Londres a la 1 de la madrugada, aseverando que uno de sus operadores había cometido fraude. A las 3:30 de la madrugada, la policía arrestó a un hombre de 31 años por "sospecha de fraude por abuso de cargo".


El hombre arrestado es Kweku Adoboli, según la fuente al tanto, un operador de Londres que hace apuestas con dinero del banco en instrumentos financieros vinculados con fondos que cotizan en bolsa (ETF, por sus siglas en inglés), que permiten a los clientes negociar acciones que siguen el desempeño de grandes índices. El hecho de que Adoboli parece haber sido un empleado de bajo nivel en una mesa encargada de negociar productos de bajo riesgo y sin apalancamiento incrementa el misterio de cómo pudo generar una pérdida tan grande.
El arresto plantea preguntas sobre si Adoboli podría formar parte de un círculo más amplio de empleados involucrados en potenciales actividades ilícitas.
Según la fuente al tanto, John Hughes, otro operador que trabajaba con Adoboli en la mesa de ETF, renunció. Esta persona dijo que directivos de UBS sospechan que Adoboli no actuaba solo en las negociaciones no autorizadas. El banco también ha suspendido a otros miembros de la mesa, mientras espera interrogarlos sobre si estaban involucrados.
La crisis golpeó las acciones del banco suizo, que cayeron casi 11% en negociaciones en Europa el jueves. Más generalmente, suscita interrogantes sobre la supervisión en el banco, como también la capacidad de los reguladores de vigilar de manera adecuada sus actividades.
El regulador financiero suizo, Finma, el ministerio suizo de Finanzas y el banco central del país no quisieron hacer comentarios sobre las posibles pérdidas o qué pudo haberlas provocado.
La magnitud de las pérdidas por las transacciones no autorizadas de Adoboli está entre las mayores en la historia de las finanzas. En las dos últimas décadas, bancos como Société Générale SA, Barings y Kidder Peabody han sido víctimas de operadores que han causado cientos o miles de millones de pérdidas por negociaciones no autorizadas.
La noticia supone un duro golpe a los intentos del presidente ejecutivo de UBS, Oswald Grübel, de recuperar la confianza de los clientes en uno de los bancos más vapuleados por la crisis. También plantea dudas sobre los sistemas de gestión y control de riesgo del banco, apenas tres años después de que su brazo de banca de inversión tuvo que amortizar unos US$50.000 millones en transacciones de valores.
Desde septiembre de 2006, Adoboli, de 31 años, ha trabajado en la mesa de UBS que negocia con grandes canastos de valores o permite a los clientes apostar a ellos por medio de opciones u otros instrumentos, según su perfil en el sitio web de contactos profesionales LinkedIn. Adoboli trabajaba en la unidad de negociación de alta frecuencia conocida como Delta One. Adoboli, quien no ha sido acusado pero estaba detenido por la policía la noche del jueves, no pudo ser contactado para pedirle declaraciones.
La mesa de ETF era un componente relativamente simple de las operaciones centrales de UBS, su negocio bursátil. El área de ese negocio de fondos que cotizan en bolsa permite a los clientes negociar paquetes de valores que siguen decenas de índices.
Según algunos, Adoboli inicialmente parece haber trabajado sobre el aspecto técnico de estas negociaciones en la "oficina de trastienda", antes de convertirse en un empleado de atención al cliente y que ejecuta las transacciones. Su trayectoria recuerda al caso de 2008 en el banco francés Société Générale, cuando el operador Jérôme Kerviel le costó al banco 4.900 millones de euros (US$7.250 millones) en un escándalo de transacciones ilegales. Kerviel, quien hizo apuestas sobre la magnitud de los movimientos de índices bursátiles europeos, usó el conocimiento de su puesto de experto técnico para ocultar las operaciones no autorizadas.
La pérdida de UBS, la mayor derivada de una negociación no autorizada en un banco suizo, supone un duro golpe a la banca de inversión de la entidad, que lleva años tratando de remontar luego de su cuasi colapso en 2008. Tras enormes reducciones contables, la filial registró una pérdida de 34.400 millones de francos suizos en 2008, obligando al Banco Nacional Suizo a rescatar al banco.
La noticia también podría plantear interrogantes sobre cuánto tiempo Grübel —quien comenzó su carrera como operador— seguirá al frente de UBS. Grübel, que también ocupó el mismo cargo en Credit Suisse, interrumpió su retiro en febrero de 2009 para ayudar al banco en su recuperación. Ha dicho que pretende permanecer en el puesto hasta concluir su plan de reestructuración, pero no ha fijado una fecha de partida.
—Dana Cimilluca, Carrick Mollenkamp y Alistair MacDonald contribuyeron a este artículo.
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"Hablame"

"EN TIEMPOS DIFÍCILES" - Heberto Padilla

A aquel hombre le pidieron su tiempo

para que lo juntara al tiempo de la Historia.

Le pidieron las manos,

porque para una época difícil

nada hay mejor que un par de buenas manos.

Le pidieron los ojos

que alguna vez tuvieron lágrimas

para que contemplara el lado claro

(especialmente el lado claro de la vida)

porque para el horror basta un ojo de asombro.

Le pidieron sus labios

resecos y cuarteados para afirmar,

para erigir, con cada afirmación, un sueño

(el-alto-sueño);

le pidieron las piernas

duras y nudosas

(sus viejas piernas andariegas),

porque en tiempos difíciles

¿algo hay mejor que un par de piernas

para la construcción o la trinchera?

Le pidieron el bosque que lo nutrió de niño,

con su árbol obediente.

Le pidieron el pecho, el corazón, los hombros.

Le dijeron

que eso era estrictamente necesario.

Le explicaron después

que toda esta donación resultaria inútil.

sin entregar la lengua,

porque en tiempos difíciles

nada es tan útil para atajar el odio o la mentira.

Y finalmente le rogaron

que, por favor, echase a andar,

porque en tiempos difíciles

esta es, sin duda, la prueba decisiva.

Los Aldeanos: "El Socialismo en Tiempos del Colera: Toda Una Nación"

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La columna de Cubanalisis

NEOCASTRISMO [Hacer click en la imagen]

NEOCASTRISMO [Hacer click en la imagen]
¨Saturno jugando con sus hijos¨/ Pedro Pablo Oliva

Seguidores

Carta desde la carcel de Fidel Castro Ruz

“…después de todo, para mí la cárcel es un buen descanso, que sólo tiene de malo el que es obligatorio. Leo mucho y estudio mucho. Parece increíble, las horas pasan como si fuesen minutos y yo, que soy de temperamento intranquilo, me paso el día leyendo, apenas sin moverme para nada. La correspondencia llega normalmente…”

“…Como soy cocinero, de vez en cuando me entretengo preparando algún pisto. Hace poco me mandó mi hermana desde Oriente un pequeño jamón y preparé un bisté con jalea de guayaba. También preparo spaghettis de vez en cuando, de distintas formas, inventadas todas por mí; o bien tortilla de queso. ¡Ah! ¡Qué bien me quedan! por supuesto, que el repertorio no se queda ahí. Cuelo también café que me queda muy sabroso”.
“…En cuanto a fumar, en estos días pasados he estado rico: una caja de tabacos H. Upman del doctor Miró Cardona, dos cajas muy buenas de mi hermano Ramón….”.
“Me voy a cenar: spaghettis con calamares, bombones italianos de postre, café acabadito de colar y después un H. Upman #4. ¿No me envidias?”.
“…Me cuidan, me cuidan un poquito entre todos. No le hacen caso a uno, siempre estoy peleando para que no me manden nada. Cuando cojo el sol por la mañana en shorts y siento el aire de mar, me parece que estoy en una playa… ¡Me van a hacer creer que estoy de vacaciones! ¿Qué diría Carlos Marx de semejantes revolucionarios?”.
¨La patria es dicha de todos, y dolor de todos, y cielo para todos, y no feudo ni capellaní­a de nadie¨ - Marti

"No temas ni a la prision, ni a la pobreza, ni a la muerte. Teme al miedo"
-
Giacomo Leopardi

¨Por eso es muy importante, Vicky, hijo mío, que recuerdes siempre para qué sirve la cabeza: para atravesar paredes¨Halvar de Flake [El vikingo]

"Como no me he preocupado de nacer, no me preocupo de morir" - Lorca

"Al final, no os preguntarán qué habéis sabido, sino qué habéis hecho" - Jean de Gerson

"Si queremos que todo siga como está, es necesario que todo cambie" - Giuseppe Tomasi di Lampedusa

"Todo hombre paga su grandeza con muchas pequeñeces, su victoria con muchas derrotas, su riqueza con múltiples quiebras" - Giovanni Papini


"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans" - John Lennon

"Habla bajo, lleva siempre un gran palo y llegarás lejos" - Proverbio Africano

"No hay medicina para el miedo" - Proverbio escoces

"El supremo arte de la guerra es doblegar al enemigo sin luchar"
- Sun Tzu

"You do not really understand something unless you can explain it to your grandmother" - Albert Einstein

"It is inaccurate to say I hate everything. I am strongly in favor of common sense, common honesty, and common decency. This makes me forever ineligible for public office" - H. L. Menken

"I swore never to be silent whenever and wherever human beings endure suffering and humiliation. We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented" - Elie Wiesel

"Stay hungry, stay foolish" -
Steve Jobs

"If you put the federal government in charge of the Sahara Desert , in five years ther'ed be a shortage of sand" - Milton Friedman

"The tragedy of modern man is not that he knows less and less about the meaning of his own life, but that it bothers him less and less" - Vaclav Havel

"No se puede controlar el resultado, pero si lo que uno haga para alcanzarlo" -
Vitor Belfort [MMA Fighter]

Liborio

Liborio
A la puerta de la gloria está San Pedro sentado y ve llegar a su lado a un hombre de cierta historia. No consigue hacer memoria y le pregunta con celo: ¿Quién eras allá en el suelo? Era Liborio mi nombre. Has sufrido mucho, hombre, entra, te has ganado el cielo.

Para Raul Castro

Cuba ocupa el penultimo lugar en el mundo en libertad economica solo superada por Corea del Norte.

Cuba ocupa el lugar 147 entre 153 paises evaluados en "Democracia, Mercado y Transparencia 2007"

Cuando vinieron

Cuando vinieron a buscar a los comunistas, Callé: yo no soy comunista.
Cuando vinieron a buscar a los sindicalistas, Callé: yo no soy sindicalista.
Cuando vinieron a buscar a los judíos, Callé: yo no soy judío. Cuando vinieron a buscar a los católicos, Callé: yo no soy “tan católico”.
Cuando vinieron a buscarme a mí, Callé: no había quien me escuchara.

Reverendo Martin Niemöller

Martha Colmenares

Martha Colmenares
Un sitio donde los hechos y sus huellas nos conmueven o cautivan

CUBA LLORA Y EL MUNDO Y NOSOTROS NO ESCUCHAMOS

Donde esta el Mundo, donde los Democratas, donde los Liberales? El pueblo de Cuba llora y nadie escucha.
Donde estan los Green, los Socialdemocratas, los Ricos y los Pobres, los Con Voz y Sin Voz? Cuba llora y nadie escucha.
Donde estan el Jet Set, los Reyes y Principes, Patricios y Plebeyos? Cuba desesperada clama por solidaridad.
Donde Bob Dylan, donde Martin Luther King, donde Hollywood y sus estrellas? Donde la Middle Class democrata y conservadora, o acaso tambien liberal a ratos? Y Gandhi? Y el Dios de Todos?
Donde los Santos y Virgenes; los Dioses de Cristianos, Protestantes, Musulmanes, Budistas, Testigos de Jehova y Adventistas del Septimo Dia. Donde estan Ochun y todas las deidades del Panteon Yoruba que no acuden a nuestro llanto? Donde Juan Pablo II que no exige mas que Cuba se abra al Mundo y que el Mundo se abra a Cuba?
Que hacen ahora mismo Alberto de Monaco y el Principe Felipe que no los escuchamos? Donde Madonna, donde Angelina Jolie y sus adoptados around de world; o nos hara falta un Brando erguido en un Oscar por Cuba? Donde Sean Penn?
Donde esta la Aristocracia Obrera y los Obreros menos Aristocraticos, donde los Working Class que no estan junto a un pueblo que lanquidece, sufre y llora por la ignominia?
Que hacen ahora mismo Zapatero y Rajoy que no los escuchamos, y Harper y Dion, e Hillary y Obama; donde McCain que no los escuchamos? Y los muertos? Y los que estan muriendo? Y los que van a morir? Y los que se lanzan desesperados al mar?
Donde estan el minero cantabrico o el pescador de percebes gijonese? Los Canarios donde estan? A los africanos no los oimos, y a los australianos con su acento de hombres duros tampoco. Y aquellos chinos milenarios de Canton que fundaron raices eternas en la Isla? Y que de la Queen Elizabeth y los Lords y Gentlemen? Que hace ahora mismo el combativo Principe Harry que no lo escuchamos?
Donde los Rockefellers? Donde los Duponts? Donde Kate Moss? Donde el Presidente de la ONU? Y Solana donde esta? Y los Generales y Doctores? Y los Lam y los Fabelo, y los Sivio y los Fito Paez?
Y que de Canseco y Miñoso? Y de los veteranos de Bahia de Cochinos y de los balseros y de los recien llegados? Y Carlos Otero y Susana Perez? Y el Bola, y Pancho Cespedes? Y YO y TU?
Y todos nosotros que estamos aqui y alla rumiando frustaciones y resquemores, envidias y sinsabores; autoelogios y nostalgias, en tanto Louis Michel comulga con Perez Roque mientras Biscet y una NACION lanquidecen?
Donde Maceo, donde Marti; donde aquel Villena con su carga para matar bribones?
Cuba llora y clama y el Mundo NO ESCUCHA!!!

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