CONTRA EL PINGALISMO CASTRISTA/ "Se que no existe el consuelo que no existe la anhelada tierrra de mis suenos ni la desgarrada vision de nuestros heroes. Pero te seguimos buscando, patria,..." - Reinaldo Arenas

Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Crisis economica. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Crisis economica. Mostrar todas las entradas

jueves, diciembre 05, 2013

Soros Warns of ‘Riots,’ ‘Brutal’ Clampdowns & Possible Total Economic Collapse

George Soros is no stranger to Blaze readers. The billionaire currency speculator and philanthropist has long been in the news, especially since the fateful day in 1992 when he helped crash England’s economy. In fact, since that day, he has been commonly referred to as “the man who broke the bank of England.”
Soros is shrewd, he has a keen eye for investments, and he knows how to play the markets. Therefore, when he makes a prediction, it might be safe to say it’s worth a listen. After all, his predictions (among other things) have made him the multi-billionaire he is today.
So you might want to pay attention to a recent story from The Daily Beast that claims George Soros is nervous about the future of the global economy and that he warns of dark things to come.
“At times like these, survival is the most important thing,” Soros said.
As he sees it, the world faces one of the most dangerous periods of modern history—a period of “evil,” writes the Beasts’ John Arlidge. “Europe is confronting a descent into chaos and conflict. In America [Soros] predicts riots in the streets that will lead to a brutal clampdown that will dramatically curtail civil liberties [emphases added]. The global economic system could even collapse altogether.”
And to add a little color, Aldridge notes Soros says it all while “peering through his owlish glasses and brushing wisps of gray hair off his forehead.”
“I am not here to cheer you up. The situation is about as serious and difficult as I’ve experienced in my career,” Soros told Newsweek. “We are facing an extremely difficult time, comparable in many ways to the 1930s, the Great Depression. We are facing now a general retrenchment in the developed world, which threatens to put us in a decade of more stagnation, or worse. The best-case scenario is a deflationary environment. The worst-case scenario is a collapse of the financial system.”
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Famed Investor’s Dire Warning: ‘This Is Going to End Badly… Be Prepared, Be Worried, and Be Careful’

 
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miércoles, julio 24, 2013

The Economist: Poverty's new address in America

The Economist

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viernes, mayo 24, 2013

Europe's sclerosis: Sleepwalking to disaster

EconomistMagazine

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jueves, mayo 16, 2013

Lessons from Detroit's financial crisis: Pension time bombs ready to detonate in US cities?


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miércoles, mayo 15, 2013

Stephen King on the end of affluence: The battle over scarce resources

EconomistMagazine

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sábado, mayo 04, 2013

Financial strain pushes many veterans to the breaking point

inplainsight
Courtesy Adam Legg
Navy veteran Adam Legg said a long jobless spell after tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan left him feeling hopeless and led him to "go weeks without smiling, walking around like a shadow, like you're not there."
By Bill Briggs, NBC News contributor
Hundreds of thousands of Iraq and Afghanistan veterans have been flying home to a fresh fox hole: A debt crater that’s sucking in entire military families and could be helping to fuel the veteran suicide crisis.
Courtesy Adam Legg
"I was a watch commander where I had 25 to 30 
people working  beneath me, in charge of millions 
of dollars worth of ammunitions, weapons, vehicles, 
computers," said Adam Legg, a Navy veteran. "And 
then  when I come home, not only can I not find 
a job, I can't take care of my family."
A bad job market, a long backlog for federal disability benefits, and occasionally unwise spending habits have been conspiring to strain the financial and mental health of many veterans, experts say.
"We keep hearing of suicides rising. How much pressure do you think one person can take?" asks Christopher Fitzpatrick, deputy director of VeteransPlus, a nonprofit that has fielded more than 170,000 calls from ex-service members with imminent financial concerns. 
"No one wants to talk about the fact that there are other reasons, besides PTSD, for suicide at 2 in the morning. You know how we know? We have an online form people use to contact us, and we get those emails — they’re sent at 1, 2, 3, 4 in the morning. People are reaching out, literally: 'Can you please help me? I’m losing everything.'"
It's a problem that could get even worse in coming years, with more than one million service members expected to make the transition to civilian life.
Navy veteran Adam Legg, 30, ran into financial trouble following two tours in Iraq and one in Afghanistan. A jobless and hopeless period that began after his service separation in 2009 led him to "go weeks without smiling, walking around like a shadow, like you're not there," he said.
He couldn't secure a job at his local McDonald's or at dozens of other companies to which he applied in Central Florida. With a wife, Melissa, and a young daughter to feed, he maxed out a credit card that he was able to pay off with money he'd saved during his eight years in the Navy. 
'Very, very dark place'
But bigger bills — like the mortgage — went untouched. After losing his Florida home to foreclosure and two cars to repossession, Legg said he began to consider suicide. 
"When you feel like you can’t take care of your family, feed them, shelter them, it’s a very, very dark place. A feeling of uselessness that maybe they would be better off if you’re not around," Legg said. 
"We've been below the poverty line, absolutely. I was a watch commander where I had 25 to 30 people working beneath me, in charge of millions of dollars worth of ammunitions, weapons, vehicles, computers. And then when I come home, not only can I not find a job, I can’t take care of my family. If it weren’t for my wife, if she was not supportive the way she was, I really don’t think I’d be here right now."
According to VeteransPlus, fewer than 20 percent of their clients have stockpiled a six-month savings cushion while serving in Iraq or Afghanistan despite untaxed, hazardous-duty wages that fattened paychecks.
Some returning veterans planned to live off their credit cards until landing civilian work, even though the veteran unemployment rate is two points higher than the civilian rate, Fitzpatrick said. Some expected to support themselves via VA benefits, apparently unaware that average wait time for that money approaches — and sometimes eclipses — one year.  
The Pentagon urges military personnel and their families to bank some money while in the service. This year, during “Military Saves Week," service members were reminded to “set a goal, make a place and save automatically.” Service members also can take advantage of the Thrift Savings Plan, a federally sponsored retirement savings and investment program resembling a civilian 401(k).
But even some of those who build up savings while serving abroad find their stash exhausted after buying gifts for family and plucking shiny toys, like motorcycles, for themselves when they come home from war, according to VeteransPlus.
"We don’t like using the word ‘entitlement,’ but often that’s what it really is for these young men and women who feel like they’ve served their country and are coming home with some money and ‘now it’s my turn,’" Fitzpatrick said. 
Move west, young man
For Legg, the way out was to escape Florida, not his life. He and his wife packed up their daughter, dog, cat and remaining belongings and recently drove to the Pacific Northwest. Two things lured the Legg family to Baker City, Ore.: a lower cost of living and its proximity to a military-friendly college, Eastern Oregon University. 
He's now a full-time student, living off of his GI Bill and his VA benefits for a diagnosed anxiety disorder (not PTSD), damaged knees, a bad back, and an injured left arm — combat baggage that requires daily Vicodin consumption. They live in a small, rented house.
Melissa was scheduled to deliver their second child last Wednesday. Soon, Legg plans to file for bankruptcy. 
Courtesy Adam Legg/ Navy veteran Adam Legg and 
his family moved to Oregon from Florida.
"I have no choice. We're at that rock bottom line," he said. "I'm not the only one. Of the (veteran) friends I've kept up with, most are struggling." 
Many veterans panic when they face getting kicked out of their homes, or must decide between buying food or diapers, said Kristy Kauffman, executive director of Code of Support, an Alexandria, Va.-based nonprofit that proclaims to "bridge the gap between civilian and military America."
"It happens far too often. We get at least one call, email, or referral every week," she said.
Kaufmann agrees with Fitzpatrick that poverty is one factor behind the veteran suicide rate, adding: "It does increase the risk." 
"The vast majority of those who have worn the uniform," she said, "are imbued with a strong sense of mission and pride in 'getting it done.' For those who have trouble reintegrating into the civilian world — whether due to physical or mental health issues, or lack of employment opportunities — it's that loss of mission that seems most debilitating."

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jueves, mayo 02, 2013

Mark Carney’s parting shot at Alan Greenspan

By Kevin Carmichael 
JASON FRANSON/THE CANADIAN PRESS
Mark Carney, who has been called the “outstanding” central banker of his generation, has used one of his final speeches as governor of the Bank of Canada to criticize the legacy of Alan Greenspan, who often was characterized as the greatest central banker of his generation.
Mr. Carney said Wednesday that central banks likely left interest rates too low for too long ahead of the financial crisis, mistakenly believing there was little they could do deflate asset-price bubbles.
“It appears likely that monetary policy would ideally have leaned against growing domestic imbalances in the pre-crisis period, thereby mitigating the eventual fall,” Mr. Carney said in a lecture at the University of Alberta in Edmonton.
By “imbalances,” Mr. Carney is referring to the housing busts in the United States and parts of Europe that brought down the global economy.
Alan Greenspan
As those bubbles were inflating, central bankers generally were of the mind that it was less costly to let them burst and then clean up the damage by quickly lowering interest rates. Mr. Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, (in)famously argued that bubbles could too easily be confused with desirable wealth creation.
Mr. Greenspan’s approach to monetary policy has come under a considerable amount of scrutiny in recent years, for obvious reasons. Mr. Carney, who in July takes over as governor of the Bank of England, clearly has concluded that the crisis has left Mr. Greenspan’s theory wanting. Mr. Carney says central bankers should “lean” against asset-price bubbles under certain circumstances.
“While there clearly would have been economic costs to leaning, these must be viewed in relation to the enormous costs associated with the crisis,” he says. “Relative to the previous consensus, the lean versus clean debate now appears to be, at the very least, more finely balanced, if not tipping in favour of pre-emptive leaning,” he adds in the speech.
Mr. Carney’s conclusions about pre-crisis monetary policy matter because post-crisis monetary policy is rather similar.
The Bank of Canada’s benchmark lending rate has been 1 per cent or lower since January 2009, and the central bank’s current guidance suggests the overnight target will stay at 1 per cent until at least the end of next year. If that approach created “imbalances” a decade ago, it can do so again. That’s why so many critics think central banks such as the Bank of Canada are sowing the seeds for another crisis.
Mr. Carney concedes there is a risk of a repeat. That’s why the Bank of Canada has been so vocal in warning against the perils of household debt and why the central bank continues to tilt toward raising interest rates even as the economy’s momentum approached stall speed.
Yet Mr. Carney’s critique of the Greenspan doctrine isn’t absolute.
He agrees that raising interest rates to cool a specific market is an inelegant way to guide an economy. Which is why he emphasizes that monetary policy is the last line of defense. First, one hopes households, executives and investors will be guided by common sense. When that fails, they next play is regulatory policy; for example, tightening mortgage requirements, as Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has done on four separate occasions. If that fails, then the central bank must raise interest rates, even if that risks impeding economic growth more broadly, to avoid a calamity.
In effect, by stressing the possibility that bubbles could result in higher interest rates, the Bank of Canada has been leaning against the housing market. Mr. Carney said in his lecture compared it to the way central banks use communication to root inflation expectations – if economics actors believe the central bank will react to excessive debt accumulation with by raising borrowing costs, those actors will take on less debt.
“If leaning is understood, expectations will do some of the work for us,” Mr. Carney said.
Some will question to extent to which that is true. Few should question whether it is worth trying. The new generation of central bankers only is trying to correct the mistakes of the previous one.

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lunes, abril 29, 2013

El Estudiante, los Profesores y la Teoria del Endeudamiento vs Austeridad


Thomas Herndon
El País / Sandro Pozzi.- Cuando la deuda de un país supera el 90% del PIB, el crecimiento de la economía es inviable. El aserto, nacido de dos cerebros de Harvard y sobre el que se asientan las políticas de austeridad que están a punto de dinamitar los pilares del Estado de bienestar en medio mundo, ha resultado tan falaz como las armas de destrucción masiva que sirvieron para justificar la invasión de Irak.
“Es exagerado hacer la comparación, pero acepto la analogía porque es cierto que se están adoptando políticas a partir de premisas que son falsas”. Quien habla es Thomas Herndon, el estudiante de 28 años que, en su camino para sacarse un doctorado en Economía en la Universidad de Massachusetts, ha desenmascarado la mentira macroeconómica más significativa de los últimos años, y sobre la que EE UU y Europa se han apoyado en su campaña por la austeridad fiscal y el recorte drástico del gasto. 
Herndon cuenta que se frotaba los ojos al cruzar los datos de su trabajo ordinario de carrera con los del hipercitado informe de los profesores de la prestigiosa Universidad de Harvard Carmen Reinhart y Kenneth Rogoff. Los errores eran básicos. De hecho, al principio pensó que el equivocado era él. No podía ser que dos reputadas eminencias hubieran podido pasar por alto cosas así.
El estudio que está en el centro de la controversia global lo publicaron Reinhart y Rogoff en la American Economic Review en 2010. Ahí defienden cómo el crecimiento cae de golpe cuando la deuda pública de un país supera el 90% del PIB. Reinhart, nacida en La Habana (Cuba) hace 57 años, fue economista jefa durante tres años del difunto Bear Stearns, la primera víctima de la crisis financiera. Eso fue en los años 1980, antes de ocupar varios cargos en el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI), donde llegó a ser la número dos en el departamento de investigación antes de llegar a Harvard. Rogoff, de 60 años, fue su jefe en el FMI, donde tuvo un sonado encontronazo con Joseph Stiglitz a cuenta de la crítica que el premio Nobel hizo de esa institución en su libro El malestar en la globalización (2002).
Su novia, una socióloga acostumbrada a cruzar números, fue la primera en apoyarle: “No creo que estés equivocado”, le dijo
No fueron pocos los políticos que echaron mano del trabajo para defender que se pase la podadora al gasto para volver a la senda de un crecimiento sano y robusto. Entre ellos, Paul Ryan, el candidato republicano a la vicepresidencia de EE UU. También el comisario europeo de Asuntos Económicos, Olli Rehn, y el expresidente del Banco Central Europeo Jean-Claude Trichet. Ninguno cuestionó la metodología del trabajo, ni sus datos, como hizo el joven Herndon.
“Estaba convencido desde el principio de que algo iba realmente mal con el estudio. Y cuando me llegaron los datos [los autores le mandaron las tablas de Excel que utilizaron, a petición del estudiante], se confirmaron mis sospechas”, relata Herndon. El joven estudiante, criado en Austin (Texas), de padre texano y madre de Hong Kong, al que le gusta tocar el bajo, le pasó las tablas a su novia, Kyla Walters. Ella tiene un doctorado en Sociología y gracias a su trabajo de investigación está muy acostumbrada a cruzar números. “No creo que te estés equivocando”, le respondió.
El siguiente paso fue acudir a Michael Ash y Robert Pollin, dos de sus profesores, que ahora le cubren las espaldas, pero que en un primer momento se mostraron más bien incrédulos. Lo que no logró anticipar Herndon, ni tampoco Ash y Pollin, es lo que venía a continuación. Hay economistas que les han llamado para emprender con ellos una batalla contra la idea de que el alto endeudamiento frena el crecimiento.
Pero hasta ahora ni un solo dirigente político se ha puesto en contacto con el trío para conocer su teoría. Aun así, el estudiante señala que el trabajo “está empezando a marcar la diferencia en los círculos de decisión política”. Cita, por ejemplo, el blog de John Taylor. El reputado economista por Stanford asegura que el error puesto en evidencia por el joven influyó en la decisión de los ministros de Finanzas del G-20 para omitir en su comunicado de la semana pasada una referencia al nivel de endeudamiento.
En el origen del fiasco está un encargo convencional de los profesores. Pidieron a los alumnos que emularan resultados estadísticos de estudios ya publicados. Él eligió el estudio de Reinhart y Rogoff porque, “aunque era poco atractivo”, le pareció oportuno vistas las dificultades que tienen Europa y EE UU para salir del agujero de la recesión y del impacto de las políticas que se están adoptando en los países.
Los profesores de Harvard ahora cuestionados le facilitaron en enero todo el material que necesitaba para descifrar el estudio y le dieron libertad para publicar lo que quisiera. “Vi el error muy rápido”, dice Herndon. A comienzos de abril, Reinhart y Rogoff admitieron que habían cometido algunos fallos a la hora de codificar las cifras. Pero siguen defendiendo su metodología e insisten en que existe una clara correlación entre alto endeudamiento y lento crecimiento. “Este lamentable desliz no afecta al mensaje central”, dicen en una nota.
Herndon, que habla siempre en plural, admite que criticar el trabajo de los dos profesores de Harvard “es lo más fácil” y no cree que hubiera una intencionalidad cuando omitieron ciertos datos, como el hecho de que Australia, Canadá y Nueva Zelanda crecieran en periodos de alto endeudamiento, o se equivocaran en alguna suma al introducir mal las órdenes en la celdilla de Excel. Pero está convencido también de que la teoría no puede replicarse, porque está mal planteada. Y apoya que se adopten políticas de estímulo para salir de la recesión. “La austeridad es contraproducente, crea sufrimiento”.
El joven no se declara ni conservador ni liberal; dice que no le gustan las etiquetas. Pero sí parece tener muy claro que “es falso decir que el alto endeudamiento es malo”. Por eso cree que lo que deben hacer los dirigentes es ver las circunstancias específicas en las que la deuda puede ser efectiva en un escenario de recesión. Su prioridad ahora, comenta, es terminar el segundo semestre y recopilar ideas para su tesis final.
De momento se está dedicando con sus profesores a publicar los primeros hallazgos para después seguir desarrollando el trabajo a lo largo del verano, integrando mejoras estadísticas. Y entre clase y clase busca tiempo para conceder entrevistas e incluso acercarse a Nueva York para verse con Stephen Colbert, el conductor del programa satírico The Colbert report. Colbert le dedicó esta semana dos espacios a su trabajo, lo que muestra hasta qué punto está caliente el debate. En el primero se dedicó a mofarse de los profesores de Harvard y de los que se apoyaron en su estudio para aventurar “una nueva crisis económica alimentada por la deuda”. “¿Sabes que has enfadado a mucha gente en el campo de la austeridad, importantes y muy poderosos?”, le preguntó después. “La Universidad me cuida mucho”, le respondió. Herndon admite no estar preparado para la avalancha mediática. “Ni siquiera tenía una buena foto”, comenta. Y las siglas con las que los tres autores firman el trabajo, HAP, tomada de la inicial de sus apellidos, ha inspirado ya una expresión entre los estudiantes: “To get happed”, que alguien te señale los errores.
El joven cree que su experiencia hará que los estudiantes presten mucha más atención a la hora de comprobar una y otra vez los resultados de sus trabajos. “Serán mucho más cuidadosos”. Como le dijo Colbert, la pareja de Harvard no se dio cuenta de los errores porque no hay nadie por encima de ellos que les revise sus estudios. Ahora, como señala Kyla, su chico tendrá menos tiempo para practicar música, pero sus perspectivas de trabajo han mejorado.

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lunes, abril 22, 2013

Control de precios: Una tendencia preocupante en América Latina

Libremente
Por Steve Hanke
Argentina (en inglés), Venezuela (en inglés) y ahora incluso Ecuador (en inglés) se han adherido a la desafortunada, aunque familiar, moda económica que actualmente atraviesa la región —los controles de precios. En un intento mal concebido de “suprimir” la inflación, sus respectivos gobiernos han intentado fijar los precios a niveles artificialmente bajos. Como cualquier economista que merezca el título sabe, esto eventualmente derivará en escasez.
Considere a Venezuela, donde el gobierno fija el precio de una serie de productos, incluyendo la gasolina, cuyo precio está fijado en solamente 5,8 centavos por galón. Como el gráfico adjunto muestra, 20,4% de los productos simplemente no se encuentran disponibles en las tiendas.
Escasez en Venezuela
Mientras que los controles de precios probablemente mantienen los precios de los productos bajos en los mercados oficiales, finalmente conducen a repisas vacías, privando a muchos consumidores del acceso a productos esenciales (como el papel higiénico, en inglés). Esto, a su vez, conduce a una inflación “reprimida” —dados los controles de precio que existen, la tasa de inflación “real” es mantenida en un nivel bajo, o reprimida mediante la intervención estatal al estilo soviético. Como el gráfico adjunto muestra, la tasa implícita de inflación anual de Venezuela (utilizando variaciones en el mercado negro –enlace en inglés– del tipo de cambio entre el bolívar fuerte y el dólar) ubica a la tasa de inflación “reprimida” en un 153%.
Inflación Venezuela
De igual forma, Argentina se enfrenta a un dilema similar (ver gráfico adjunto).
Inflación en Argentina
Además de la escasez y la inflación reprimida, los controles de precio pueden conducir a consecuencias políticas no intencionadas en el futuro. Una vez que los controles de precio son implementados es muy difícil removerlos sin generar una agitación popular —solo considere las revueltas de 1989 en Venezuela (en inglés) cuando el presidente Carlos Andrés Pérez intentó remover los controles de precio.
Ojalá Ecuador —que, gracias a la dolarización (en inglés), está experimentando una inflación anual de solamente 3%— comprenda este sinsentido y abandone su experimento con los controles de precio.
Si los gobiernos de países como Venezuela están realmente interesados en mantener la inflación bajo control, deberían seguir el ejemplo de Ecuador —simplemente descartar su moneda doméstica y “dolarizar” (en inglés).

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lunes, abril 15, 2013

Ninety days of destruction from the Obama White House

The economic news in America has gone from bad to worse. 
First, we found out the jobs numbers are collapsing. Then retail sales figures were released- they show across the board contraction. 
Next, we found out U.S. business inventory figures were a disappointment. 
Finally, consumer confidence not only collapsed, but it was the largest miss from expectations in U.S. economic history. 2 words explain it all: "Ninety days."
Creating jobs in Obama's America is like trying to grow healthy plants in a nuclear blast zone.
Ninety days is all it took to put the U.S. economy into a coma, to destroy any chance of recovery. 90 days defined by the Obama "Axis of Evil” -- Taxation, regulation, unionization, litigation, IRS intimidation, demonization, and government strangulation. The last 90 days of this Axis of Evil have sealed our fate.
There are no new jobs. There will be no new jobs. Creating jobs in Obama's America is like trying to grow healthy plants in a nuclear blast zone. Obama has turned the U.S. economy into a “Hostile Work Environment.” I call it Obamageddon. 
Look at the toxic results of what has happened in the last deadly 90 days. Last month we added a miserable 88,000 jobs. 660,000 Americans dropped off the job rolls...in one month
Ninety million working-age, able-bodied Americans are no longer in the workforce. The workforce participation rate is the lowest since 1979. For men it’s the lowest since 1948 (when record keeping began). Disposable income in January was the lowest since 1959 (since record-keeping began). Under Obama we’re truly back to the future.
Twenty-percent of eligible adults are on food stamps. Fourteen million on disability. Record-setting numbers of Americans are breaking into their own retirement accounts just to survive. Student loan debt is a disaster -- with defaults up 36% from a year ago. 16.4 million Americans live in poverty…in the suburbs.
You’re on your own as the American economy descends into darkness, overwhelmed by debt and entitlements. 
Obama and the mainstream media have been blowing smoke for months, but the gig is up. No recovery is coming.
Let’s take a look at what Obama did to “save us” in the past 90 days:
- Federal income taxes went up dramatically on business owners (ie jobs creators). 
- Payroll taxes went up. 
- Exemptions and deductions were taken away. 
- ObamaCare taxes took effect. State and local taxes went up across the USA. 
- Gas prices went up drastically -- even as we learned Obama’s EPA wants new gas taxes.
- Grocery prices soared. 
- Health insurance soared. For many small businesses we learned it will double next year. 
- Electric rates went up -- as we learned that Obama’s EPA doubled biofuel taxes, while also trying to eradicate the coal industry and ban oil drilling. 
- IRS audits went up dramatically on business owners (which means higher accountant and legal bills).
Add it up: There’s no money left. Even “the rich” feel poor. The middle class is drowning. Small business is under attack. How can anyone spend if they have no money left after Obama's relentless taxes? Where is the money coming from to start a business?
But it gets even worse. In those same 90 days, the government created 6,118 new rules and regulations. That’s 68 per day. 
To produce that many job-killing regulations, Obama must have sweatshops populated with  slave labor, whipped and kept in chains, working in shifts 24 hours per day. Obama is literally killing the spirit of business owners and taxpayers.
Obama is like a drug addict with giant bills to pay and no income. He has to find a way to pay for his food stamps, disability and unemployment society. 
The bill to keep this Ponzi scheme going gets bigger by the hour. But with 90 million adults no longer working, and everyone who is willing to work being robbed to pay for a nation of deadbeats, who is left to jump-start the economy? Who is left to create jobs? The answer is…clearly…no one.
Even more shocking and depressing are Obama’s priorities. He claims we desperately need to raise all these taxes. 
Yet, our president had no problem giving away $250 million to the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, $500 million to the Palestinians, $1.5 million in grant money to study why lesbians are fat (I’m not kidding), and billions of dollars in income tax credits to illegal aliens (who never paid income taxes in the first place). And you wonder why people are angry and disillusioned?
This has been 90 days for the history books. Ninety days that have made an economic collapse much more likely than a recovery. Ninety days that has put capitalism and American exceptionalism on life support.
Ninety days of the Obama "Axis of Evil” showcasing what one man, supported by a blind, adoring liberal-biased media, can do to snuff out ambition, drive, work ethic, creativity, inspiration and enthusiasm -- all in the name of equality, fairness and social justice.
Ninety days that will live in infamy. My book "The Ultimate Obama Survival Guide" is out today. Just in time -- because now it's a fight for survival.
Wayne Allyn Root is capitalist evangelist, entrepreneur, and Libertarian-conservative Republican. He is a former Libertarian vice presidential nominee. Wayne's latest book will be published on April 15: "The Ultimate Obama Survival Guide: Secrets to Protecting Your Family, Your Finances, and Your Freedom." For more, visit his website: www.ROOTforAmerica.com. Follow him on Twitter@WayneRoot.

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jueves, abril 11, 2013

Did Someone In Maduro’s Team Really Write The “Economic Atomic Bomb” Document

devilsexcrement.com
Today everyone is talking about this document that Spain’s ABC newspaper wrote about in which reportedly a Communist Deputy that supports Chavismo wrote this highly critical article about the way the Venezuelan economy has been managed and proposes solutions to avoid what it calls “an economic atomic bomb”, which “has practically exploded”.
While I am sure the document is real and written by someone on the Chavista camp, I doubt very much that this person exerts any sort of influence over the Chavista leadership. Clearly, the author is well versed on economic matters, providing a good diagnoses of the situation, except that I don’t think the Chavista leadership would consider that this atomic bomb is already exploding. If that were the case, then all of the polls that have been telling us that Maduro is likely to win are all wrong and we would see some sort of desperation on Maduro’s part. (Although today’s attack  by Maduro on pro-Chavismo Ultima Noticias was certainly peculiar)
But beyond that, the document seems to be inconsistent with the trends one sees in Chavismo under Maduro. Yes, Giordani seems to be on the way out, but it does not look, like the document suggests like Ramirez will give up any part of what is under his control. Nor do I believe that Ramirez or Maduro will like an “opening” to the Venezuelan bourgeois or “selective opening to foreign investment”.
Thus, I think this document comes from a Chavista economist, an idealist, who mixes up religion and state, who really believes the whole model is wrong, but who I think has little weight under a possible Maduro Government.

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lunes, abril 08, 2013

Economic Policies of Margaret Thatcher's administration

taimax13

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jueves, marzo 28, 2013

The European Crisis Continues: No Solution on the Horizon/ Václav Klaus

catoinstitutevideo


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sábado, marzo 09, 2013

Record 89,304,000 Americans ‘Not in Labor Force’ | Fausta's Blog

Fausta's Blog
Record 89,304,000 Americans ‘Not in Labor Force’ — 296,000 Fewer Employed Since January

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) labels people who are unemployed and no longer looking for work as “not in the labor force,” including people who have retired on schedule, taken early retirement, or simply given up looking for work.
The increase marks the second month in a row, after rising in January from 88.8 million in December. Those not in the labor force had declined in December from 88.9 million in November.
The number of Americans not in the labor force increased by 296,000 between January and February, which means that the labor force participation rate, which measures workers and those looking for jobs, also fell, to a 32-year low of 63.5 percent.
Mr. Bingley has more >>
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jueves, enero 03, 2013

The editors review 2012: Economics

EconomistMagazine

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jueves, diciembre 27, 2012

Huffington Post: ‘President Clinton’s Policies Sent The Economy Seriously Off Course’

finally someone realizes the origin of the present mess.
-------------------------------
By Dean Baker
The truth is often painful but nonetheless it is important that we live in the real world. Just as little kids have to come to grips with the fact that there is no Santa Claus, it is necessary for millions of liberals, including many who think of themselves as highly knowledgeable about economic matters, to realize that President Clinton's policies sent the economy seriously off course.
In Washington it is common to tout the budget surpluses of the Clinton years as some momentous achievement, as though the point of economic policy is to run budget surpluses. Of course the point of economic policy is to produce an economy that improves the lives of the people in a sustainable way. Clinton badly flunked this test.
theblaze.com
The Clinton economy was driven by a stock bubble. This is not a debatable point. The ratio of market-wide stock prices to corporate earnings was well over 30 to 1 at the peak of the bubble in 2000. This is more than twice the historic average.
Keep reading on huffingtonpost >>

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sábado, diciembre 22, 2012

EconTalk with Charts: A New Idea Well Executed

Economics One/ John B. Taylor
This week Russ Roberts released the third episode in his innovative new interview series called “The Numbers Game.” The innovation is to add graphs and other visuals—and thereby helpful numerical information—to his popular postcast interview series EconTalk.

The first three episodes go together to form a three part series on the economy and in particular on the nature and cause of the weak recovery from the 2007-2009 recession. The episodes also go together in that I was Russ's guest on all three—yes, a volunteer subject for Russ’s new experiment.

All the episodes are on YouTube.The first episode establishes that the recovery actually has been weak—even compared to other recoveries following deep recessions and financial crises. The second episode examines the possible causes of the weakness, and the third episode concentrates on what, in my view, is the main cause—economic policy.

It’s challenging to integrate charts effectively into a potcast of an interview, but it’s very worthwhile, especially in economics.  Charts give the interviewee a chance to show the facts behind the arguments and then the interviewer can ask about and debate those facts. And it is even possible for the interviewer to add some challenging new charts as Russ did with a bar chart on a survey of economists in the third episode. Charts are also an invaluable way to convey ideas, and, speaking as a teacher, that’s why I love charts.

I think that Russ and his collaborator in this new endeavor, Shana Farley, have done a fantastic job. They have thought about everything, including putting up little caricatures of Russ and his guests like the one of me here. I hope they keep it up with many more episodes of The Numbers Game.


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domingo, diciembre 16, 2012

Is the Global Economy on the Verge of Another Meltdown?

TheRealNews

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miércoles, diciembre 12, 2012

Federal Reserve announces unprecedented steps to bolster the economy


WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve said Wednesday that it plans to keep interest rates ultra-low even after unemployment falls close to a normal level — which it thinks could take three more years.
As long as expected inflation remains tame, the Fed said it could keep its key short-term rate near zero even after unemployment falls below 6.5 percent. Unemployment is now 7.7 percent.

For the first time, the Fed is making clear to investors and consumers that it will link its actions to specific economic markers. Previously the Fed had said only that it expects to keep the rate low until at least mid-2015.
Analysts said the Fed’s new guidance will make it easier for companies, investors and consumers to make financial decisions because they will have a clearer grasp of when borrowing costs will begin to rise.
“This approach is superior” to setting a timetable for a possible rate increase, Chairman Ben Bernanke said at a news conference after the Fed held a two-day policy meeting and issued a statement. “It is more transparent and will allow the markets to respond quickly and promptly to changes” in the Fed’s economic outlook.
Though the Fed’s low interest-rate policies are intended to boost borrowing, spending and stock prices, they also hurt millions of retirees and others who depend on income from savings.
Bernanke made clear that even after unemployment falls below 6.5 percent, the Fed might decide that it needs to keep stimulating the economy. Other economic factors will also shape its policy decisions, he said.
“The Fed has become more explicit and more transparent,” said Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics. “This should provide the markets with much more clarity around monetary policy action in the upcoming year.”
In its statement, the Fed said it will also keep spending $85 billion a month on bond purchases to drive down long-term borrowing costs and stimulate economic growth.
The Fed will spend $45 billion a month on long-term Treasury purchases to replace a previous bond-purchase program of an equal size. And it will keep buying $40 billion a month in mortgage bonds.
Those purchases, and the Fed’s commitment to low rates, are intended to spur borrowing and spending in an economy still growing only modestly 3½ years after the Great Recession ended.
Still, Bernanke warned that none of the Fed’s actions could outweigh the economic pain that would be caused by sharp tax increases and government spending cuts that are set to kick in next month. The standoff between President Barack Obama and Republican lawmakers over how to resolve the “fiscal cliff” is already hurting the economy, in part by reducing consumer and business confidence, he said.
Fed policymakers are hopeful that the crisis can be resolved without significant long-term economic damage, Bernanke said. They foresee slightly faster growth next year and a gradual decline in unemployment.
Bernanke’s comments about the impact of the fiscal cliff seemed to raise some concern among investors. Stocks had risen after the Fed’s statement was released. But by the end of Bernanke’s news conference, market averages were mixed. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down about 3 points. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose fractionally.

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy
Continued  Here >>


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"Hablame"

"EN TIEMPOS DIFÍCILES" - Heberto Padilla

A aquel hombre le pidieron su tiempo

para que lo juntara al tiempo de la Historia.

Le pidieron las manos,

porque para una época difícil

nada hay mejor que un par de buenas manos.

Le pidieron los ojos

que alguna vez tuvieron lágrimas

para que contemplara el lado claro

(especialmente el lado claro de la vida)

porque para el horror basta un ojo de asombro.

Le pidieron sus labios

resecos y cuarteados para afirmar,

para erigir, con cada afirmación, un sueño

(el-alto-sueño);

le pidieron las piernas

duras y nudosas

(sus viejas piernas andariegas),

porque en tiempos difíciles

¿algo hay mejor que un par de piernas

para la construcción o la trinchera?

Le pidieron el bosque que lo nutrió de niño,

con su árbol obediente.

Le pidieron el pecho, el corazón, los hombros.

Le dijeron

que eso era estrictamente necesario.

Le explicaron después

que toda esta donación resultaria inútil.

sin entregar la lengua,

porque en tiempos difíciles

nada es tan útil para atajar el odio o la mentira.

Y finalmente le rogaron

que, por favor, echase a andar,

porque en tiempos difíciles

esta es, sin duda, la prueba decisiva.

Los Aldeanos: "El Socialismo en Tiempos del Colera: Toda Una Nación"

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La columna de Cubanalisis

NEOCASTRISMO [Hacer click en la imagen]

NEOCASTRISMO [Hacer click en la imagen]
¨Saturno jugando con sus hijos¨/ Pedro Pablo Oliva

Seguidores

Carta desde la carcel de Fidel Castro Ruz

“…después de todo, para mí la cárcel es un buen descanso, que sólo tiene de malo el que es obligatorio. Leo mucho y estudio mucho. Parece increíble, las horas pasan como si fuesen minutos y yo, que soy de temperamento intranquilo, me paso el día leyendo, apenas sin moverme para nada. La correspondencia llega normalmente…”

“…Como soy cocinero, de vez en cuando me entretengo preparando algún pisto. Hace poco me mandó mi hermana desde Oriente un pequeño jamón y preparé un bisté con jalea de guayaba. También preparo spaghettis de vez en cuando, de distintas formas, inventadas todas por mí; o bien tortilla de queso. ¡Ah! ¡Qué bien me quedan! por supuesto, que el repertorio no se queda ahí. Cuelo también café que me queda muy sabroso”.
“…En cuanto a fumar, en estos días pasados he estado rico: una caja de tabacos H. Upman del doctor Miró Cardona, dos cajas muy buenas de mi hermano Ramón….”.
“Me voy a cenar: spaghettis con calamares, bombones italianos de postre, café acabadito de colar y después un H. Upman #4. ¿No me envidias?”.
“…Me cuidan, me cuidan un poquito entre todos. No le hacen caso a uno, siempre estoy peleando para que no me manden nada. Cuando cojo el sol por la mañana en shorts y siento el aire de mar, me parece que estoy en una playa… ¡Me van a hacer creer que estoy de vacaciones! ¿Qué diría Carlos Marx de semejantes revolucionarios?”.
¨La patria es dicha de todos, y dolor de todos, y cielo para todos, y no feudo ni capellaní­a de nadie¨ - Marti

"No temas ni a la prision, ni a la pobreza, ni a la muerte. Teme al miedo"
-
Giacomo Leopardi

¨Por eso es muy importante, Vicky, hijo mío, que recuerdes siempre para qué sirve la cabeza: para atravesar paredes¨Halvar de Flake [El vikingo]

"Como no me he preocupado de nacer, no me preocupo de morir" - Lorca

"Al final, no os preguntarán qué habéis sabido, sino qué habéis hecho" - Jean de Gerson

"Si queremos que todo siga como está, es necesario que todo cambie" - Giuseppe Tomasi di Lampedusa

"Todo hombre paga su grandeza con muchas pequeñeces, su victoria con muchas derrotas, su riqueza con múltiples quiebras" - Giovanni Papini


"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans" - John Lennon

"Habla bajo, lleva siempre un gran palo y llegarás lejos" - Proverbio Africano

"No hay medicina para el miedo" - Proverbio escoces

"El supremo arte de la guerra es doblegar al enemigo sin luchar"
- Sun Tzu

"You do not really understand something unless you can explain it to your grandmother" - Albert Einstein

"It is inaccurate to say I hate everything. I am strongly in favor of common sense, common honesty, and common decency. This makes me forever ineligible for public office" - H. L. Menken

"I swore never to be silent whenever and wherever human beings endure suffering and humiliation. We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented" - Elie Wiesel

"Stay hungry, stay foolish" -
Steve Jobs

"If you put the federal government in charge of the Sahara Desert , in five years ther'ed be a shortage of sand" - Milton Friedman

"The tragedy of modern man is not that he knows less and less about the meaning of his own life, but that it bothers him less and less" - Vaclav Havel

"No se puede controlar el resultado, pero si lo que uno haga para alcanzarlo" -
Vitor Belfort [MMA Fighter]

Liborio

Liborio
A la puerta de la gloria está San Pedro sentado y ve llegar a su lado a un hombre de cierta historia. No consigue hacer memoria y le pregunta con celo: ¿Quién eras allá en el suelo? Era Liborio mi nombre. Has sufrido mucho, hombre, entra, te has ganado el cielo.

Para Raul Castro

Cuba ocupa el penultimo lugar en el mundo en libertad economica solo superada por Corea del Norte.

Cuba ocupa el lugar 147 entre 153 paises evaluados en "Democracia, Mercado y Transparencia 2007"

Cuando vinieron

Cuando vinieron a buscar a los comunistas, Callé: yo no soy comunista.
Cuando vinieron a buscar a los sindicalistas, Callé: yo no soy sindicalista.
Cuando vinieron a buscar a los judíos, Callé: yo no soy judío. Cuando vinieron a buscar a los católicos, Callé: yo no soy “tan católico”.
Cuando vinieron a buscarme a mí, Callé: no había quien me escuchara.

Reverendo Martin Niemöller

Martha Colmenares

Martha Colmenares
Un sitio donde los hechos y sus huellas nos conmueven o cautivan

CUBA LLORA Y EL MUNDO Y NOSOTROS NO ESCUCHAMOS

Donde esta el Mundo, donde los Democratas, donde los Liberales? El pueblo de Cuba llora y nadie escucha.
Donde estan los Green, los Socialdemocratas, los Ricos y los Pobres, los Con Voz y Sin Voz? Cuba llora y nadie escucha.
Donde estan el Jet Set, los Reyes y Principes, Patricios y Plebeyos? Cuba desesperada clama por solidaridad.
Donde Bob Dylan, donde Martin Luther King, donde Hollywood y sus estrellas? Donde la Middle Class democrata y conservadora, o acaso tambien liberal a ratos? Y Gandhi? Y el Dios de Todos?
Donde los Santos y Virgenes; los Dioses de Cristianos, Protestantes, Musulmanes, Budistas, Testigos de Jehova y Adventistas del Septimo Dia. Donde estan Ochun y todas las deidades del Panteon Yoruba que no acuden a nuestro llanto? Donde Juan Pablo II que no exige mas que Cuba se abra al Mundo y que el Mundo se abra a Cuba?
Que hacen ahora mismo Alberto de Monaco y el Principe Felipe que no los escuchamos? Donde Madonna, donde Angelina Jolie y sus adoptados around de world; o nos hara falta un Brando erguido en un Oscar por Cuba? Donde Sean Penn?
Donde esta la Aristocracia Obrera y los Obreros menos Aristocraticos, donde los Working Class que no estan junto a un pueblo que lanquidece, sufre y llora por la ignominia?
Que hacen ahora mismo Zapatero y Rajoy que no los escuchamos, y Harper y Dion, e Hillary y Obama; donde McCain que no los escuchamos? Y los muertos? Y los que estan muriendo? Y los que van a morir? Y los que se lanzan desesperados al mar?
Donde estan el minero cantabrico o el pescador de percebes gijonese? Los Canarios donde estan? A los africanos no los oimos, y a los australianos con su acento de hombres duros tampoco. Y aquellos chinos milenarios de Canton que fundaron raices eternas en la Isla? Y que de la Queen Elizabeth y los Lords y Gentlemen? Que hace ahora mismo el combativo Principe Harry que no lo escuchamos?
Donde los Rockefellers? Donde los Duponts? Donde Kate Moss? Donde el Presidente de la ONU? Y Solana donde esta? Y los Generales y Doctores? Y los Lam y los Fabelo, y los Sivio y los Fito Paez?
Y que de Canseco y Miñoso? Y de los veteranos de Bahia de Cochinos y de los balseros y de los recien llegados? Y Carlos Otero y Susana Perez? Y el Bola, y Pancho Cespedes? Y YO y TU?
Y todos nosotros que estamos aqui y alla rumiando frustaciones y resquemores, envidias y sinsabores; autoelogios y nostalgias, en tanto Louis Michel comulga con Perez Roque mientras Biscet y una NACION lanquidecen?
Donde Maceo, donde Marti; donde aquel Villena con su carga para matar bribones?
Cuba llora y clama y el Mundo NO ESCUCHA!!!

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